Finance

Europe has escaped its deflation nightmare

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Eurozone inflation escaped from negative territory in March, with prices neither growing nor falling over the the course of the month, according to the latest release from Eurostat. Inflation was flat at 0.0%.

That number means that prices are no longer falling, but aren't growing either, and are a very long way from the European Central Bank's 2% target.

On a month-to-month basis, prices were up by 1.2% in the Euro area, while year-on-year core consumer prices grew by 1%.

Core prices are an important measure because they strip out the most volatile items — things like fuel and food prices, which are subject to massive variations. 

A large part of the eurozone's extremely low inflation right now is down to the slump in the price of oil over the last year — but the core figure shows that other prices aren't rising by as much as the ECB would like, either.

The eurozone has been flirting with price deflation for the past year or so, largely hovering just above zero since early 2015. Here's how inflation in the eurozone looks over the last few years:

March CPI inflation
Eurostat

As well as taking a whole view of Europe and the eurozone, Eurostat tracks countries on an individual basis. Out of the 28 European Union countries tracked by Eurostat, 15 saw negative inflation, while 12 saw growth, and one, Finland matched the Europe wide figure of 0.0%.

Prices fell the most in Romania (-2.4%), and Cyprus (-2.2%). Bright spots were Belgium — where inflation was up 1.6% — and Sweden. Sweden is one of several EU countries to have implemented negative interest rates, and as Business Insider pointed out earlier this week, they're starting to work. Eurostat says prices in Sweden grew 1.2% on an annual basis in March. 

Here's the Europe-wide chart:

EU28 inflation march 2016
Eurostat

Thursday's eurozone CPI figures are the second set to be released since European Central Bank and its president Mario Draghi announced a series of new monetary policy measures, including cutting all its base rates, and extending its programme of bond buying.

The measures are designed to try and boost stalling inflation, as well as growth, within the Eurozone. So far the ECB's negative interest rate policy (NIRP) hasn't managed to stimulate inflation, but today's figure may give a glimmer of hope to the bank, that measures are just about starting to work.

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Will Martin
Will Martin
Will Martin is a senior business editor with 10 years of experience in various roles at Business Insider. He works with a team of reporters and editors to cover everything business, with a special focus on consulting, financial markets, and the aviation industry.Prior to working on the business news team, Will led Insider's sports coverage in the company's London bureau, publishing award-nominated work on alleged gang involvement in elite boxing, deeply-reported features on a civil war in Olympic sport modern pentathlon, and profiles of some of the biggest rising-stars in soccer.Before joining the sports team, Will spent a year as an associate editor on Insider's global news team. Before that, Will worked as a markets and economics reporter for Business Insider for more than three years.During his time with the news team, Will assigned and edited reporting and features on everything from the Boeing 737 Max crisis, to the persecution of Uyghur Muslims in China, to global geopolitics, and even a Barack Obama-themed service station in Ireland.He also personally reported on allegations of illegal mass human organ harvesting in China.Prior to working for Insider, Will earned a BA in International Relations from the University of Exeter and an MA in Financial Journalism from City, University of London.