Retail

What is retail shrink, and how does it differ from theft?

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Shrink often comes up in discussions about theft and organized retail crime. Walmart Media Relations
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Executives at retailers like Walmart and Target often mention "shrink" or "shrinkage" when they talk about theft at their stores.

But what, exactly, does that mean?

While it's often mentioned in relation to theft or organized retail crime, shrink has a broader definition: It's the difference between the inventory a retailer has according to its balance sheet and what it actually has.

The term isn't related to "shrinkflation" — a term that describes when companies sell smaller packages of soda or facial tissues as an alternative to raising prices.

Shrink is caused by a variety of factors. Customer theft is one, but other contributors can include theft by employees, products that expire, mistakes when taking inventory at a store, or products that are damaged and have to be written off.

In 2022, retailers lost $122.1 billion in shrink, or 1.6% of all retail sales, according to the National Retail Foundation. External theft represented 36% of shrink that year, while 29% came from employee theft. Another 27% came from "process, control failures and errors," the NRF said in a report.

Retailers have noted the effects of higher shrink on their business over the past year. Many use the term as a synonym for "theft," though few retailers break out exactly how much different factors contribute to their shrinkage.

Target, for instance, talked about rising shrink in the run-up to its decision to close nine stores around the US.

Crime data from the stores that Target is closing suggests that they didn't have a particularly high number of shoplifting incidents or violent crimes, particularly compared to other Target stores that will remain open.

And executives at Dick's Sporting Goods said in August that higher-than-expected shrink from theft pulled the retailer's profits down during its second quarter.

In reality, theft has received a disproportionate amount of attention on earnings calls relative to other drags on shrink and retailers' profits, an investigation by CNBC found.

Do you have a story idea related to the retail industry? Reach out to this reporter at abitter@jkmperu.com

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Alex Bitter
Alex Bitter is a senior retail reporter covering the gig economy, food, and retail. His work focuses major gig delivery and ride-hailing apps, including Uber, Lyft, DoorDash, Instacart, and Walmart's Spark. He is interested in everything from what it's like to work on the apps to the companies' business strategies.Some of his recent stories feature gig workers who have been deactivated on the apps, DoorDash hiring traditional employees to make deliveries, gig workers' use of bots, and gig work expanding into new professions, such as nursing.Alex has also written about Aldi's US expansionStarbucks' turnaround efforts, and the fallout from Kraft-Heinz's budget cutting. Convenience store chain Sheetz ended its "smile policy" after his reporting.Before joining Insider in September 2020, he wrote about consumer and retail companies for S&P Global Market Intelligence. He's a graduate of the University of Hawai'i at Mānoa and grew up on the Big Island.Alex lives in the Washington, DC, area, where you can find him studying ancient coins or searching for Civil War artifacts with his metal detector in his free time.Got a tip? Reach out at abitter@jkmperu.com or via encrypted messaging app Signal at +1 (808) 854-4501.